Wednesday, May 23, 2018

Dr. Marc Faber: The Fed Will Reverse QT In Less Than 12 Months


In this wide ranging interview, Jason asks Marc about asset price volatility, whether the stock market is topping, central bank balance sheets and whether they can be meaningfully reduced, the credit bubble in China, the US vs China trade war, and the popularity of crypto currencies in Asia.


Thursday, May 17, 2018

Marc Faber on the China Trade War, the Japan Trap and Why the World is More Vulnerable Than Ever

With global markets struggling for direction after a rocky start to the year, Dr Doom has been conspicuously absent from the conversation. Investment adviser Marc Faber, 72, who adopted the nickname in 1987 after a newspaper column highlighted his contrarian outlook on markets, has had a quiet six months.

Faber – a once regular guest on business news shows such as CNBC’s Squawk Box and Bloomberg Television – has faded from view since the publication of his October newsletter The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report for comments that were condemned as racist. This included a passage where Faber used offensive racial references in laying out a bleak picture for the US if its early immigration flows had been from Africa rather than Europe. He has since been dropped from the booking lists for programmes at Fox News and CNBC, according to Reuters.


At the time, Faber told Canada’s Global & Mail he stood by the remarks, saying in an email exchange that he did not regret writing the passage and that he had a free right to express his views.

When This Week in Asia spoke to Faber at his suite at the Grand Hyatt in Hong Kong this year, he sounded resigned to the loss of his appearances on business television.

“Everything in life and the universe has a timeline, it is transient. In other words, what you have today, you may not have tomorrow,” Faber said.

Known for a keen interest in history, and the works of innovators such as Russian “wave theory” economist Nikolai Kondratiev, Faber has slipped from the public spotlight just as global markets have entered a period of heightened volatility...


Tuesday, May 8, 2018

Marc Faber: Tariffs Are Going to Backfire on Everyone

The tariffs are going to backfire on the US very badly because you have to understand that the US was economically very powerful until the early 1980s. The same was the time in the 70s and early 80s. If America sneezes, Asia catches the cold because all the exports went to America. But this is no longer the case nowadays. Take steel. 2% of US steel imports are from China and only 1.5% of Chinese production of steel is exported to the US.

Even if the US would not buy any steel at all from China, it would not matter to the Chinese. At the time of Davos in February, a Chinese owner of the world’s largest bus company was interviewed and they asked him about US tariffs and chances of trade war with US. He said we really do not care. We export our buses to 150 different countries in the world, what do we care about the American market and that is true for many companies. The American market is no longer that relevant. China exports more to commodity producers than to the US and the same applies to the South Korea.

What has changed in the last 30-40 years is that whereas Asia and the world was American centric before, the world has become much more China centric in Asia and it is a much more multi-dimensional global economy where the US has lost a lot of its importance, relatively speaking. It has also lost the lot of prestige because of their failed interventions in Iraq, in Syria, in Libya, in Afghanistan, everything they touched, they messed up.

- Source, ET India

Saturday, May 5, 2018

Marc Faber: Forget about seeing 3% GDP growth in the U.S.

Marc Faber, editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report joins BNN to discuss why U.S. President Trump's goal of 3-per-cent economic growth is unattainable.

- Source, BNN

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

Marc Faber: These Trade Wars are Going to be Very Negative for Everyone

In terms of interest rates, historically, our standards have been at the lowest level in the history of mankind from say 3000 BC up to now. So, in 5,000 years of history, we have never been this low. In the US, the low for the 10 years treasury was at 1.37% in July 2016 and in Europe, in many cases, there have been negative interest rates.

Recently, that has moved up a little bit but in Switzerland and in Japan, basically we still have negative interest rates and we have had them essentially for the last eight-nine years. This is a very unusual situation. I do not think anyone could expect interest rate to stay this low for much further. There is a rising tendency but recently the treasury bonds in the US have sold off quite considerably and I believe that we could have one more decline in interest rates as a result of a recession that may happen later on this year or next year. So, I actually went long on some treasury bonds in the US.

Concerning global trade, you are right. The idea was that multinationals in Europe and especially in the US could open up new markets like China and then sell their goods into these markets. But conditions have somewhat changed in the sense that it is the Chinese and other emerging economies that sold their goods into the US.

So to some extent, it backfired on the US and as you know the US is not the fair player and they reacted negatively. These trade sanctions or trade barriers, in my view are not very negative for China and other countries. Rather they are very negative for the US. This is my assessment of the situation.

- Source, Marc Faber via ET

Sunday, April 29, 2018

Marc Faber: Canada Needs to Diversify Away From U.S. Trade Dependence


Marc Faber, editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report joins BNN to discuss why Canada needs to diversify its trade policy away from the U.S.

- Source, BNN

Thursday, April 26, 2018

The Indian Economy Has Massive Potential, But Serious Problems Still

There is a lot of liquidity here in Asia. But offsetting that, there is also a lot of debt and the debt level in the world nowadays as a percent of the economy is more than 50% higher than it was in 2007 before the crisis occurred. We had this modest economic expansion since June 2009 but it was driven by money printing and credit and we have reached probably the level of credit where additional credit will not do much good.

India from a longer term point of view is still a good proposition but India is not exactly a problem-free country. There is leverage in the system and there has been fraud and there are still some unsettled political events that may happen.

I would say given that the market has actually rallied very strongly over the last few years and that we have reached a high at 36400 on January 29th , we could easily decline by around 20% from the highs that would take us below 30000. Long term, I am optimistic but we have to realise that if one asset class goes down, fund managers will also sell another one even though the fundamentals may be favourable but they just get out and build up their liquidity because on institutional side, the funds are holding very little liquidity. So, they may build up liquidity and that can then bring about selling pressure everywhere.

I do not think that dynamics have changed a lot. I still have a view that over the next 10 years, you will make more money in India than say in the US. In fact, looking at the various economies around Asia and the world, I would feel reasonably confident to say that India has a growth potential of say approximately 6% per annum which to Indians may not sound a lot but that is much better than the Europe and the US.

I do not think that this is a problem. The problem in India is more that Modi has some difficulties in reducing the still enormous bureaucracy. It may have improved somewhat but there’s still a lot of bureaucracy and there are still a lot of bad loans in the books of banks and then there is also the valuation issue. Blue chips in India sat at 40-50 times earnings. I do not consider that to be a low valuation. These factors could easily contribute to a big -- 20-30% disruption.

- Source, ET India

Monday, April 23, 2018

Marc Faber: Trade Wars will have a negative impact on emerging markets


In an interview with ET Now, Marc Faber, The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, says long term, he is optimistic about India but if one asset class goes down, fund managers will also sell another one even though the fundamentals may be favourable.

- Source, ET Now

Friday, April 13, 2018

Marc Faber: The Billionaire They Call Dr. Doom


My guest in this interview is Dr Marc Faber. Dr. Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. 

He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. 

Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, MARC FABER LIMITED which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.

- Source, Cashflow Ninja

Friday, April 6, 2018

Marc Faber: Trade War will have a negative impact on emerging markets


I was expecting a correction a long time ago. It has not happened but when it happens, it happens in a more severe manner. So far, it has not happened very severely in the US. We are down not even 10% from the January 26 high. In India, we are down about 10% from the January 29 highs but it is not yet a big correction by historical standards. A correction would be a 20% decline and the bear market would be something like a 40% decline. It is nothing very serious yet but it may become very serious in the future.

I was expecting a correction a long time ago. It has not happened but when it happens, it happens in a more severe manner. So far, it has not happened very severely in the US. We are down not even 10% from the January 26 high. In India, we are down about 10% from the January 29 highs but it is not yet a big correction by historical standards. A correction would be a 20% decline and the bear market would be something like a 40% decline. It is nothing very serious yet but it may become very serious in future.

In terms of interest rates, historically, our standards have been at the lowest level in the history of mankind from say 3000 BC up to now. So, in 5,000 years of history, we have never been this low.

In the US, the low for the 10 years treasury was at 1.37% in July 2016 and in Europe, in many cases, there have been negative interest rates...

- Source, Economic Times

Friday, March 30, 2018

Zee Exclusive Conversation With Famous Swiss Investor Marc Faber


Watch this segment to know what famous Swiss investor Marc Faber has to say about India and its economy. In an exclusive interview to Zee Business today, famous Swiss investor Marc Faber said that the Sensex can still fall over 20 per cent, slipping below the 30,000 mark.

- Source, Zee Business